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Efron–Stein Variance Bound

Bound a nonlinear statistic’s variance by replacing one independent coordinate at a time.

Free theory article

Bound a nonlinear statistic’s variance by replacing one independent coordinate at a time.

Concept & interpretation

The Efron–Stein inequality bounds the variance of a general function of independent random variables. It does so by considering how much the function's value can change when a single coordinate is resampled independently.

Experiment

Follow these steps to observe the variance bound in action using the interactive module controls.

  1. Open the Efron–Stein Variance Bound module.
  2. Set Function to Sum. Observe that the exact variance and the bound are equal. The Efron-Stein bound is perfectly tight for linear functions like the sum.
  3. Set Function to AND and Success probability to 0.25. Observe how the bound provides a safe upper estimate for the variance of the minimum function.
  4. Observe the coordinate resampling visualization. It demonstrates one base sample and compares it to samples where exactly one coordinate is independently redrawn.
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